SAINT MARY'S COLLEGE
Department of Business Administration and
Economics
ECON 251
Professor Jerry McElroy
Macroeconomics Principles
106 Madeleva Phone:
284-4488
Spring 2002
Home Phone: 234-2827
<jmcelroy@saintmarys.edu>
Hours: WF 9-12 or by appointment
SYLLABUS
CONTENT: After an introduction to the Nature of
Economics (1), and scarcity (2), this course examines the elementary concepts of
Demand and Supply (3). There
follows a look at the diseases of the business cycle (8), unemployment and
inflation, and the measurement of overall economic activity in GDP (7). Next we develop the Keynesian aggregate
expenditure and equilibrium income model (9), and add in government and trade
(10), and then the price level with Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply
(11).
Normative or policy economics begins with the role of government in the
economy, fiscal policy (12), the role of money (13) and banking (14) and how the
Federal Reserve conducts monetary policy (15). Chapter (16) introduces unemployment
with the Phillips Curve, (19) reviews Keynesian vs. Classical debates, (17)
examines economic growth, and (18) deficits and debt. The course concludes with a look at
trade and protectionism (20), global finance (21), and the problems of poor
countries (22).
GOALS:
1. To develop the AD/AS
model to understand how the macroeconomy
works.
2. To
develop a facility for understanding how various events (stock market collapse,
Sept. 11th etc.) and
various economic policies impact the economy.
3. To be able to
intelligently understand economic news in the media.
MEANS: These include pre-reading the text
selections according to the attached assigned readings list BEFORE CLASS,
discussing the material presented, doing the HOMEWORK PROBLEMS, and taking the
tests. There will be four
class-period tests, plus a final exam covering the last half of the course. Each test will count 40 points, and the
final will count 60 for a 220 total.
For those students successfully completing an optional paper, the paper
will be worth a possible 40 points, and the total 260.
GRADING SCALE: A = 93-100, A- = 90-92, B+ = 88-89, B =
83-87, B- = 80-82 and so on.
OPTIONAL PAPER: This is for those students who have the
time and interest, i.e. it is optional.
A list of acceptable topics is attached to this syllabus. To have a successful paper, four
criteria must be met:
1.
The topic must be chosen
from the attached list, or be a different topic that
251
Syllabus—page
2
meets the instructor’s approval. Two students can work on a paper
together if they can justify it and get approval.
2. Topic
and short outline (one page) must
be submitted for approval on or
before March 19th. Outline should include (a) a clear
statement of the
hypothesis
you want to test, (b) a brief discussion of your method for collecting data
(survey questionnaire), and (c) a listing of any library materials you plan to
use, although in most cases there may be little or none of this because this is
a "do-it-yourself" project and not a library research
exercise.
3.
Results of the optional
papers will be briefly (4-5 minutes) presented and discussed in class on
4/30.
4. Final paper is due by
5 PM 5/2, and should be
limited to 5-7
pages.
PROCEDURES: Each class will begin (1) with an
application of theory to some real-world
news event, (2) some review of past material, (3)
and discussion of homework problems.
Class attendance and promptness are expected, and active verbal
participation in discussions is encouraged and will be
rewarded.
REQUIRED TEXT: C.R. McConnell
and S.L. Brue, Macroeconomics, McGraw-Hill, 15th ed. 2001
(paperback). See course website at:
http://jmcelroy.pageout.net
READING ASSIGNMENTS: Chapter numbers in (). Chapter titles and key topics/concepts
are listed for each date's pre-reading.
1/15. . . . . . . . . Syllabus,
(1) Nature of economics?
Scarcity and the PPF Frontier (2)
1/17-22. . . . . . (3) Supply and Demand:
Equilibrium and Disequilibrium: Applications
1/24. . . . . . . . . (8)
Unemployment, Inflation and the Business Cycle
1/29-31 . . . . . .(7) Measuring GDP: Real
versus Nominal, The Circular Flow Model
2/5.. . . . . . . . . TEST ONE: Chapters 1-3,
7-8
2/7. . . . . . . . . . (9) Equilibrium Income: C + I =
Y
2/12-14. . . . . . .(10)
Equilibrium Income: Adding G & T and Net Exports (X-M)
2/19-21. . . . . . .(11)
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply: the Self-Correcting
Economy
Also read pp. 306-311 in
(16).
2/26 . . . . . . . . .Review
Class
2/28. . . . . . . . . TEST TWO:
Chapters 9-11, pp. 306-311 (16)
3/5... . . . . . . . .(12) Fiscal Policy
3/7 . . . . . . . . . .(13-14)
Money and Prices; Banking and Deposit Creation, Money
Multiplier
3/19 . . . . . . . . (15) Monetary Policy: the Fed’s 3 Tools,
Keynesian Indirect Monetary
Mechanism, Inflation
and Deflation.
Optional Paper Topics and Outlines Due.
3/21 . . . . . . . . .(16) The
Phillips Curve: Unemployment and Inflation
3/26. . . . . . . . . (19)
Keynesian-Classical Macro Debates
3/28. . . . . . . . .
Review
251 Syllabus—page
3
4/2. . . . . . . . . .TEST THREE: Chapters
12-16, 19.
4/4-9. . . . . . . . (20) International
Trade/Protectionism
4/11-16. . . . . . .(21)
International Monetary System: Floating and Fixed Exchange Rates and
the
BOP, the Gold Standard
4/18. . . . . . . . . (22) The
Economics of Developing Countries
4/23. . . . . . . . .
Review
4/25 . . . . . . . . TEST FOUR: Chapters
20-22
4/30. . . . . . . . . Student
Optional Paper Presentations: start
REVIEW FOR FINAL EXAM
5/2. . . . . . . . . .Final Drafts of
Optional Papers Due 5 pm. Finish
FINAL EXAM REVIEW.
TOPICS FOR OPTIONAL
PAPERS: You can choose from this
list or convince me of a better idea.
Keep in mind that two of you can do any of these micro-type topics
together provided that you double the suggested sample size for the survey. The 15 micro topics are followed by 15
macro topics, but you can choose either type.
1.
Compare the prices of the same bundle of goods at various stores in South
Bend over several weeks.
Determine where the cheapest place to shop is for various goods. Explain the
differentials.
2.
Contrast the prices in South Bend with those in another city during
Spring Break as in #1.
3.
Survey the economics of any retail industry, like the small grocery
store, local tavern, gas station, car wash, farmer, beautician or barber,
etc. Estimate costs, revenues,
profits over several years to find impact of macroeconomy on individual
behavior.
4.
Likewise, analyze one of the major campus operations (bookstore, laundry,
flower shop, cafeteria, snack bar, Observer, or any dorm food sales
operation). Determine cost of goods
sold, pricing policies, and whether such operations are subsidized, by how much,
etc.
5.
Do a consumer expenditure study.
Interview 25-30 South Bend households like faculty to discover on a
monthly basis what proportion of disposable income goes for
consumption, what for
saving. Of consumption, what goes
for food, rent, clothing, transportation, furniture, utilities, and other
(travel,entertainment). See
if Engle's Law works, i.e. whether food and other essentials decrease in importance as
income rises.
6.
What are the monthly (weekly) habits of students?
Interview 30-40 to determine how much they spend, what they buy, whether
there are class differences, male/female differences, and so
on.
7.
Drawing a random sample of
students from a given year, (35-40) determine what proportion of student body
(full-time students) holds a part-time job, how many hours per week/month, at what wage, and
what type of occupational clusters.
Are
251 Syllabus—page
4
there differences by year, sex,
ND/SMC, major, age, etc. Because of
the necessity for a large sample, say 70-80, to be more representative of the
total student population, this project should be done by 2-3
students.
8.
Using same type of survey analysis on non-frosh under-graduates, analyze
the determinants of G.P.A. by interviewing students regarding hours of study
per class, study location, major,
year, age, sex, etc. To get a sample of say, 60-70, this should be a two-person
project.
9.
Examine the economics of living off campus versus on campus. What are the cost differences and are
they
compensated for by nonpecuniary differentials? Survey 30 of
each.
10. Study the economics of maintaining
a car. Interview 15-20 student
owners or more to determine cost differences.
11. Analyze students' use of time. What percent of the normal week day goes
to eating, sleeping, study, recreation, etc.? Does this vary for ND/SMC,
junior/senior?
12. Do students perform better in
50-minute or 75-minute classes?
This has two parts: 1)
Survey a group of 30
students to determine what they think and why. 2) Then compare last semester's grades
in the registrar's office. What do
faculty think on the same issue?
13. What is the profile of the SMC
Business major? Short interview 60 students (30 biz and liberal arts) to
determine: family income level, profession of bread-winner, political
affiliation, career aspirations, whether both parents work, etc... type of high
school, highest education level of parents, etc.
14. Do same as #13 to compare profiles
of 30 SMC BIZ majors and 30 science, communications, or education
majors.
15. Do same as #13 to compare profiles
of 30 SMC BIZ majors and 30 ND female BIZ majors, or 30 ND male BIZ
majors.
The following are macro-type
optional paper topics.
1.
Do budget deficits cause inflation?
2.
Does the size of the deficit affect interest rates?
3.
Do interest rates negatively affect investment, or GNP
growth?
4.
Is investment positively related to GNP Growth? Do countries with the highest S or I
grow fastest?
251 Syllabus—page
5
5.
Is inflation negatively related to unemployment? Is the Phillips Curve
correct?
6.
What is the relationship
between the stock market and GNP, or aggregate C?
7.
What relation between the stock market and the exchange
rate?
8.
What is the relation between the stock market and interest
rates?
9.
How does the exchange rate affect the balance of
trade?
10.
How does the exchange rate affect the interest rate (or vice
versa)?
11.
Do high US exchange rates cause high US inflation?
12.
Is Monetarism correct? Is
the Money Supply the key cause of inflation?
13.
Does US growth determine the GNP growth of other countries? In
Europe? In the Third
World?
14.
Does high population growth correlate with low per
capita in income? Are the
fastest growing populations truly in the poorest
countries?
15.
Do the richest countries of the world have the best indices of health
(life expectancy, caloric intake per person, etc.)?