SAINT MARY'S COLLEGE
Department of Business Administration and Economics
ECON 495
Professor Jerry McElroy
Senior Economics Seminar
Office: 106 Madeleva
Spring 2002
Phone: 4488;
home:234-2827
<http://www.saintmarys.edu/~jmcelroy/>
Hours: W 9-12, or appt.
DESCRIPTION:
Senior level capstone integrative and research course which has three
specific objectives: (1) to round-out students' general education in Economics,
(2) to cover a new field of enquiry, and (3) to produce a quality research paper
aimed at journal submission.
Prerequisites: BUAD 341,
ECON 351-352.
CAPSTONE INTEGRATION: Will consume the first 5-10 minutes of
each class and involves students presenting graphs/models to explain
contemporary issues/news clippings.
Presentation dates assigned with an asterisk by student's name (McElroy*)
(see below).
CONTENT FOCUS:
On the small island economies around the world in the process of
modernization, i.e. political, economic and social change. The particular focus is on (1)
understanding how small islands behave, (2) appreciating their fragile
environments, (3) contrasting their limited resources with their development
aspirations, and (4) discovering economic strategies that are sustainable. By examining postwar patterns of
development across the globe, in a number of different island settings, students
will discern commonalities that constitute contemporary island experience, and
thus gain valuable background insights for writing their research
papers.
The text is Beller and others,
Sustainable Development and Environmental Management of Small Islands
(Parthenon/UNESCO, UK/Paris, 1990; and other handout
articles.
RESEARCH PAPER: Will involve these five components
completed in five progressive stages.
Here are the stages.
1.
The formulation of a Research Proposal involving (1) topic
selection, (2) specification of a testable hypothesis, (3) support from the
literature (if brief) on the topic's importance/relevance, (4) identification of
data sources, and (5) the outline in broad terms of the rest of the paper. Components 1-3 and 5 form the
"Introduction" section of the research paper. The Research Proposal is due February
14.
2. Review of the important Literature--various theories addressing the hypothesis and empirical results--assisted by a computer-aided literature search, that summarizes articles. The Literature Review is due March 21.
3.
Statistical Analysis of the data plus graphic and/or tabular
presentation of same, most likely regression analysis (most likely
multiple). Due April
9.
4.
Interpretation
and first-draft write-up of the results plus conclusions about the
ECON 495—page
2
veracity of the hypothesis. This draft must include the following
completed (if rough) sections:
Introduction, literature review, methodology and data section, data
analysis and interpretation, summary and conclusions. Due April
23.
5.
Revised Final Draft after incorporating changes and corrections
suggested by the Instructor. This
will be due at the time of the final exam when the student will present the
research paper verbally (10-15 minutes).
It must also include any footnotes and all references in the
bibliography.
The paper should run roughly 15
pages and follow this format:
1.
Introduction: what is
the problem under investigation including (1) a short clear statement of the
hypothesis, (2) a paragraph or two on its importance, and (3) a concluding
paragraph that outlines the rest of the paper.
2.
Literature Review:
with emphasis on authors (1) from the required text (where much
literature is cited) and (2) from the computer search. Briefly summarize what others have
discovered about your hypothesized relation.
3.
Methodology: will
begin with (1) a restatement of your hypothesis and (2) also covering variable
selection, data sources and manipulation (if needed) and discussion of
statistical technique (usually multiple regression
analysis).
4.
Analysis: which will
present the data results in tables or graphs and extensively verbally interpret
the findings in light of the hypothesis.
It will also involve interpreting the coefficient of determination (R2),
the t-statistic (or F-value), and the Durbin-Watson statistic (if times series
data is used).
5.
Conclusion:
containing (1) short summary of main results, (2) suggested policy
implications flowing from your research, and (3) an outline of further future
research tasks that might flow from your research. This will be followed by the
Bibliography and any statistical appendices.
PROCEDURES:
The final grade will be based
on a total of 100 points distributed according to the following
weights:
Final research paper
60 points
Quizzes on text material
20
Chapter presentations from text
10
Oral presentation of paper
5
General class participation
5
FORMAT:
Each class will normally involve three sequential activities: (1)
discussion of
ECON 495—page
3
news item issues (INTEGRATION)
led by the students, (2) the construction of the RESEARCH PAPER led by the
Instructor, and (3) the learning of island course CONTENT from the text and
other handouts. Note that the style
of the research paper discussions is based on The Mentor Demonstration
Model whereby the Instructor--doing his own research project--writes his own
proposal, gathers data, interprets results, etc. to provide a standard for
students to follow. Each step along
the way the Instructor will "demonstrate" or "mentor" the Introduction, the
Literature Review, the Methodology section etc. so students can clearly see in
written form the quality of work needed for journal submission. Note especially that the assigned
reading in the text is for everyone to complete for each class. Note also that the chapters in the
Beller text will be presented by the students, i.e. 15-20 Minutes. Note also that the type of testing on
text material will be determined by the students. (Usually 5-minute T/F
quizzes)
RESEARCH TASKS
READING ASSIGNMENTS from text.
() Refers
to Beller.The CAPITALIZED
STUDENT
is the presenter.The other
student (*) comments & news item.
1/15
Scope out paper, mentor
Islands as physically integrated
model, syllabus
systems (handout--McElroy) Mapping.
1/17
Text references, footnotes
(1) Overview themes (COURT-Meag*)
bibliography
1/22
Format for data tables/graphs
(2)
How to sustain a small island
(MARY-Sarah*)
1/24
Mechanics of computer-aided
(3)
An approach to islands
literature search (McElroy)
(LIS-Erin*)
1/29
Hypothesis discussion of
(4)
Problems/Prospects of islands
some possibles (handout)
(JEANNE-Amy*)
1/31
Continuing discussion on the
(5)
Managing island sustainability
hypothesis/possible topics
(MEAG-Court*)
2/5
Discussion on research
(6)
Between Aldabra and Nauru
proposal
(SARAH-Mary*)
2/7
Demonstration of research
(8)
Marine resources and isle dev.
proposal (MCELROY)
(ERIN-Lis*)
2/12
Discuss data sources
(11)
Greek Islands (AMY-Jeanne*)
2/14
Proposals: C, Mary, L & J
(12) Gozo
(COURT-Mary*)
2/19
Proposals: A, E, S, Meag
(13)
Isle of Man (LIS-Jeanne*)
2/21
Student proposals returned
Handout (McELROY-McElroy*)
2/26
Demonstration of computer-
(14)
Breton Isles (AMY-Erin*)
aided lit. search (McELROY)
2/28
Writing hints (McELROY)
(15)
Mauritius (SARAH-Meag*)
3/5
Lit. searches due: A,E,S, Meag
(16)
Pacific Is. (MARY-Lis*)
ECON 495—page 4
3/7
Lit. searches due: C,My,L & J
(10)
Mediterranean Isles
(JEANNE-Amy*)
-------------------------(Spring
Break)------------------------------------
3/19
Demonstration of lit. review
(18)
Dilemma of tourism in Bali
in written form (McELROY)
(ERIN-Sarah*)
3/21
Written lit. reviews due:
Amy
Tropical Island Tourism
Erin, Sarah, Meaghan
(McELROY)
3/26
Written lit. reviews due:
(21)
Small Caribbean Islands
Court, Mary, Lis,
Jeanne
(McELROY)
3/28
Demonstration of methodology
(23)
Small Canadian Islands
section/results (McELROY)
(MEAGHAN-Court*)
4/2
Catch-up Day
Handout (McELROY)
4/4
Return of draft lit. reviews
Handout (McELROY)
4/9
Student drafts due of methodology section and data analysis section. Must include written draft of Method.
Section, data tables and roughly written interpretation. Court, Mary, Lis &
Jeanne
must verbally present their results in class.
4/11
Student drafts of methodology section etc. due for Amy, Erin, Sarah and
Meaghan.
4/16
Return of methodology and data interpretation sections. McELROY presents his full
paper.
4/18
No formal class--time set aside for individual consultation. Every student must arrange a 15-minute
interview with Instructor to assess progress/problems.
4/23
Students hand in entire draft research paper including conclusions: Introduction, literature, Methodology,
Analysis, Conclusions.
Bibliography can wait for final revised draft.
4/25
No formal class. Catch-up,
individual consultations.
4/30
Instructor returns student paper drafts and explains the nature of final
revisions that must be incorporated.
5/2
Last day of class--evaluations--summing up, etc...
TBA
Final exam date and time is when Final Revisions due. During this two-hour period, 10:30 -
12:30, each student will formally present her paper taking about 15
minutes.