Table 1: MURDER RATES1 FOR SELECTED CARIBBEAN STATES, 1980 - 1996



Antigua/ St. Kitts/ Trinidad/

Year Barbuda Barbados Dominica Grenada Guyana Jamaica Nevis Tobago U.S.V.I.

1980 6.4 14.2 40.6 4.4 23.8

81 6.0 13.6 22.4 6.8 24.4

82 7.2 15.0 18.5 7.3 24.6

83 5.2 5.2 16.7 18.7 6.8 19.3

84 5.9 2.6 16.8 21.2 6.3 15.8

85 7.9 6.2 5.4 17.4 19.0 9.1 8.4 19.8

86 6.3 3.9 9.5 9.9 19.2 2.3 6.6 17.4

87 3.1 9.3 5.5 11.8 18.8 4.6 8.4 16.0

88 7.8 7.7 2.7 11.8 17.6 9.0 7.0 24.2

89 3.1 6.9 6.9 7.5 13.1 18.5 4.7 8.2 15.6

1990 4.7 11.5 7.0 7.4 12.0 22.6 4.7 6.9

91 6.3 7.3 4.2 2.1 26.0 23.0 14.4 7.8 25.1

92 4.7 7.2 5.6 7.3 13.8 25.7 7.1 8.8 21.9

93 7.8 6.5 6.9 5.2 15.2 26.4 9.5 8.9 25.4

94 13.7 6.8 7.2 27.9 16.3 10.6 29.6

95 6.0 5.3 11.2 31.4 9.3 9.6 19.1

96 5.7 9.1 36.8



Avg. Rates 1980's 5.6 6.5 5.4 14.0 21.4 5.9 7.0 20.1

Avg. Rates 1990's 7.2 7.2 5.9 16.8 27.7 10.2 8.8 24.2

Sources: All population data, except U.S.V.I., are from the Caribbean Development Bank. U.S.V.I. data from the U.S.V.I. Census Data Center. The Royal Antigua Police Force; The Royal Barbados Police; Dominica National Crime Data Survey; The Royal Grenada Police Force; Annual Reports of the Guyana Police Force and the Guyana Statistical Bulletin; Economic and Social Survey of Jamaica; The Royal St. Christopher and Nevis Police Force; Annual Statistical Digest, Trinidad and Tobago; Virgin Islands Police Department and F.B.I.

Note: 1. Per 100,000 population



Table 2: ROBBERY RATES1 FOR SELECTED CARIBBEAN STATES, 1980 - 1996



Antigua/ St. Kitts/ Trinidad/

Year Barbuda Barbados Dominica Grenada Guyana Jamaica Nevis Tobago2 U.S.V.I.

1980 27.7 186.3 216.0 504.1

81 93.2 190.1 210.8 559.5

82 78.2 198.7 165.2 437.4

83 56.9 176.3 348.1

84 65.0 2.6 322.1 217.2 288.4

85 37.3 64.0 5.4 214.5 215.9 13.6 287.0

86 29.9 61.7 9.5 256.7 202.1 9.2 354.3

87 44.0 56.5 20.5 208.6 9.2 488.2

88 56.5 71.8 15.1 188.4 20.3

89 42.3 70.8 16.6 18.1 348.7 189.5 14.0 433.2

1990 29.8 130.1 11.2 13.8 249.1 223.1 9.3

91 40.7 253.0 36.4 26.4 548.8 230.3 12.0 626.7

92 60.7 362.6 26.4 46.1 551.2 201.4 47.6 304.9 619.6

93 76.0 275.1 53.6 62.8 219.1 76.2 378.8 669.5

94 97.7 183.6 49.1 220.8 84.1 357.7 521.7

95 111.4 154.3 45.7 177.9 121.5 305.3 439.4

96 127.0 48.5 178.6



Avg. Rates 1980's 42.0 64.6 11.6 245.3 199.0 13.3 411.1

Avg. Rates 1990's 69.4 212.2 31.9 41.8 449.7 207.3 58.5 575.4

Sources: See Table 1

Notes: 1. Per 100,000 population

2. Not reported as a separate category until 1992









Table 3: RAPE RATES1 FOR SELECTED CARIBBEAN STATES, 1980 - 1996



Antigua/ St. Kitts/ Trinidad/

Year Barbuda2 Barbados Dominica Grenada Guyana Jamaica3 Nevis2 Tobago4 U.S.V.I.

1980 22.1 13.3 35.0 70.4

81 24.8 14.6 34.5 68.2

82 22.0 12.4 40.8 76.8

83 16.3 39.3 11.3 36.5 62.7

84 24.4 19.9 8.0 39.1 72.6

85 51.9 16.7 40.3 13.2 37.1 38.6 74.0

86 56.6 25.2 36.5 13.5 39.0 59.5 49.3

87 47.1 14.7 49.1 18.1 42.8 69.1 66.0

88 76.9 23.9 45.3 9.7 47.5 47.3

89 67.4 24.6 43.0 10.7 13.9 45.8 65.1 56.6

1990 72.1 27.2 60.1 21.2 10.9 41.9 62.9

91 56.3 31.7 76.9 13.7 20.8 44.9 55.0 80.2

92 82.4 34.2 66.8 11.5 14.6 45.3 73.8 96.3

93 76.0 37.6 105.8 16.8 22.7 52.5 57.1 73.2

94 70.2 23.9 22.5 43.3 67.8 63.8

95 76.8 28.0 21.3 64.5 114.5 54.7

96 28.7 21.2 71.4



Avg. Rates 1980's 58.4 21.5 39.1 12.8 39.8 55.9 66.3

Avg. Rates 1990's 72.3 30.2 77.4 18.3 17.3 52.0 71.8 73.6

Sources: See Table 1

Notes: 1. Per 100,000 population

2. Includes indecent assault

3. Includes carnal abuse

4. Not reported as a separate category- included in "Other crimes against the person".





Table 4: BURGLARY RATES1 FOR SELECTED CARIBBEAN STATES, 1980 - 1996



Antigua/ St. Kitts/ Trinidad/

Year Barbuda Barbados Dominica Grenada Guyana Jamaica Nevis Tobago U.S.V.I.

1980 557.4 296.3 378.6 506.0 3710.1

81 628.3 294.3 385.2 576.4 4699.9

82 596.6 314.1 367.8 616.4 4338.9

83 592.4 731.7 403.3 378.3 637.8 3907.4

84 816.0 793.4 452.7 369.9 636.4 3857.7

85 1103.8 721.5 773.2 365.7 377.7 831.8 771.4 3309.6

86 1051.9 744.5 1040.6 392.6 383.5 659.0 740.6 3112.3

87 1321.8 715.2 878.6 429.6 335.2 705.1 718.5 3098.0

88 1508.6 871.9 857.1 517.6 309.2 867.1 771.9

89 1512.5 930.0 963.9 431.2 605.4 309.4 832.6 682.3 3637.1

1990 1609.7 1096.3 1019.6 629.5 429.3 330.6 1205.1 617.1

91 1734.0 968.7 1072.7 677.2 782.4 333.0 1033.5 591.0 3596.7

92 2003.1 1204.7 1211.4 776.7 483.4 253.0 1009.5 639.3 3126.8

93 2018.6 1540.4 1570.1 655.5 628.3 270.0 1297.6 675.8 3112.7

94 2068.7 1239.7 881.4 271.7 1483.6 610.9 2730.8

95 2186.7 1017.4 1136.0 231.6 2219.6 517.7 2637.2

96 930.1 1227.5 190.2



Avg. Rates 1980's 1299.7 717.4 862.6 407.2 359.5 779.1 665.8 3741.2

Avg. Rates 1990's 1936.8 1142.5 1218.5 854.8 580.9 268.6 1374.8 608.6 3040.8

Sources: See Table 1

Note: 1. Per 100,000 population











Table 5: LARCENY RATES1 FOR SELECTED CARIBBEAN STATES, 1980 - 1996



Antigua/ St. Kitts/ Trinidad/

Year Barbuda Barbados Dominica Grenada Guyana Jamaica Nevis Tobago U.S.V.I.

1980 974.7 383.0 96.8 462.2 3301.2

81 1066.4 384.3 98.0 301.52 3976.6

82 946.5 402.6 101.6 99.1 3341.9

83 922.9 363.4 94.9 106.0 3244.9

84 914.5 39.7 397.9 124.0 124.9 3125.6

85 1265.7 873.2 16.1 319.4 133.6 113.6 135.5 2872.7

86 1051.9 985.2 36.5 109.7 105.6 171.6 151.3 2912.3

87 1321.8 1084.8 34.1 96.1 111.0 327.1 174.3 3227.1

88 1508.6 1224.2 26.1 106.2 98.9 184.7 213.2

89 1442.0 1398.6 27.7 235.9 100.6 87.1 118.6 233.5 3561.0

1990 1462.4 1413.3 37.8 536.1 67.4 88.9 258.7 215.2

91 1773.1 1452.4 81.1 629.7 186.2 93.6 177.0 222.4 3854.9

92 1668.7 1302.1 62.6 773.6 145.7 65.4 254.8 235.4 3534.8

93 1891.5 1127.5 39.8 660.7 144.8 64.7 431.0 226.0 3310.8

94 1871.8 939.0 746.4 49.0 605.1 256.1 3210.0

95 1881.0 898.6 1336.0 44.6 591.1 245.9 2646.3

96 910.4 1784.6 30.6



Avg. Rates 1980's 1318.0 1039.1 30.0 266.3 105.2 183.1 200.2 3284.8

Avg. Rates 1990's 1758.1 1149.0 55.3 923.9 136.0 62.4 386.3 233.5 3311.4

Sources: Table 1

Notes: 1. Per 100,000 population. Does not include predial larceny and larceny of motor vehicles.

2. Steep declines in larceny rates after 1981 suggest a redefinition of larceny or recording problems.









Table 6: SELECTED INDICATORS FOR BARBADOS, 1980 - 1996



Percent Per Capita GDP Annual Average Per Capita Electricity Retail Price Index Inflation Misery1

Year Unemployed (1974 prices $Bd) Tourist Daily Census Consumed (kwh) (March 1980 = 100.0) Index

1980 14.5 3222 10361 1331 103.5 7.70 22.20

81 13.2 3148 8935 1395 118.6 14.60 27.80

82 13.7 2987 7212 1423 130.8 10.30 24.00

83 15.0 2989 7207 1491 137.7 5.30 20.30

84 17.1 3067 7423 1511 144.1 4.60 21.70

85 18.7 3069 6506 1522 149.7 3.90 22.60

86 17.8 3212 6983 1516 151.7 1.30 19.10

87 17.9 3276 8128 1646 156.8 3.40 21.30

88 17.5 3387 9084 1737 164.2 4.70 22.20

89 15.6 3498 10022 1697 174.6 6.30 21.90

1990 15.0 3373 9043 1796 179.9 3.00 18.00

91 17.2 3228 8580 1858 191.2 6.30 23.50

92 23.0 3030 8282 1899 202.8 6.10 29.10

93 24.5 3047 8768 1943 205.1 1.10 25.60

94 21.8 3161 9538 2003 205.2 0.50 22.30

95 19.6 3248 10291 2142 208.3 1.00 20.60

96 15.8 3416 10216 2236 210.7 1.20 17.00

Source: Central Bank of Barbados, 1991 and 1997

Note: 1. The "Misery Index" is equal to unemployment plus inflation.



























Table 7: CRIME RATES1 FOR BARBADOS, 1980 - 1996



Year Murder Rape Robbery Larceny Burglary Violent 22 Violent 33 Property 24 Property 35 Total 56

1980 6.40 22.10 27.70 974.70 557.40 28.50 56.20 1532.10 1559.80 1588.30

81 6.00 24.80 93.10 1066.40 628.30 30.80 124.00 1694.70 1787.90 1818.70

82 7.20 22.00 78.20 946.50 596.60 29.20 107.40 1543.10 1621.30 1650.50

83 5.20 16.30 56.90 922.90 592.40 21.50 78.40 1515.30 1572.20 1593.70

84 5.90 24.40 65.00 914.50 816.00 30.30 95.30 1730.50 1795.50 1825.80

85 6.20 16.70 64.00 873.20 721.50 22.90 86.90 1594.70 1658.70 1681.60

86 3.90 25.22 61.70 985.20 744.50 29.10 120.80 1729.70 1791.40 1850.50

87 9.30 14.70 56.50 1084.80 715.20 24.00 80.50 1800.00 1856.50 1880.50

88 7.70 23.90 71.80 1224.20 871.90 31.60 103.40 2096.10 2167.90 2199.50

89 6.90 24.60 70.80 1398.60 930.00 31.50 102.30 2328.60 2399.40 2430.90

1990 11.50 27.20 130.10 1413.30 1096.30 38.70 168.80 2509.60 2639.70 2678.40

91 7.30 31.70 253.00 1452.40 968.70 39.00 292.00 2421.10 2674.10 2713.10

92 7.20 34.20 362.60 1302.10 1204.70 41.40 405.00 2506.80 2869.40 2911.80

93 6.50 37.60 275.10 1127.50 1540.40 44.10 319.20 2667.90 2943.00 2987.10

94 6.80 23.90 183.60 939.00 1239.70 30.70 214.30 2178.70 2362.30 2393.00

95 5.30 28.00 154.30 898.60 1017.40 33.30 187.60 1916.00 2070.30 2103.60

96 5.70 28.70 127.00 910.40 930.10 34.40 161.40 1840.50 1967.50 2001.90



Source: The Royal Barbados Police

Notes: 1. Per 100,000 population

2. Violent 2 (murder and rape)

3. Violent 3 (murder, rape, and robbery)

4. Property 2 (larceny and burglary)

5. Property 3 (larceny, burglary, and robbery)

6. Total 5 (murder, rape, robbery, larceny and burglary)















Table 8: REGRESSION RESULTS

Dependent Independent Beta Statistical

Nation Variable Variable Coefficient t Significance R Square1 F2 D-W3

electric -2.494 -4.669 0.000 (0.000)

visitors .596 3.498 0.004



unemployment 0.422 2.704 0.017 (0.000)



(0.000)



misery 0.583 5.618 0.000 (0.001)

misery 0.431 2.265 0.040 (0.007)



misery 0.561 5.036 0.000 (0.000)



(0.007)

Notes: 1. Adjusted for df

2. Levels of significance in parenthesis

3. At the 0.05 level, the acceptable range for 15 df is between 1.54 and 2.46

4. Includes burglary and larceny only

5. Includes only murder and rape

6. Includes murder, rape, and robbery